Llaneros vs Real Santander analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
CUC
0 - 0
LLA
47%
28%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
LLA
0 - 1
RSC
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2016 |
PER
1 - 1
LLA
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
TFC
0 - 0
LLA
33%
30%
37%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
LLA
3 - 1
BOG
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
REA
1 - 1
AME
20%
27%
54%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
REA
0 - 1
UNI
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2016 |
CUC
1 - 0
REA
58%
24%
19%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
RSC
3 - 1
REA
56%
25%
20%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
REA
0 - 2
BAR
49%
26%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |