Llaneros vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
UNI
0 - 1
LLA
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
LLA
4 - 1
PAT
24%
26%
51%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
LLA
3 - 2
RSC
40%
27%
32%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
LLA
2 - 2
CHI
38%
25%
37%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
BOG
0 - 1
LLA
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
RSC
2 - 5
CAR
44%
28%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 0
BAR
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
JAG
1 - 1
CAR
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2017 |
CHI
2 - 0
CAR
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 2
JUN
26%
25%
49%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |