Llanelli AFC vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.2%
3.6%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
NEA
2 - 1
LLA
25%
23%
52%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
ABE
2 - 2
LLA
26%
22%
52%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
LLA
2 - 0
BAL
83%
12%
6%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
LLA
2 - 0
HAV
72%
16%
12%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
POR
0 - 4
LLA
14%
19%
66%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
CEF
1 - 1
CAE
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
CEF
2 - 4
WEL
39%
24%
37%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
CEF
0 - 1
NEA
28%
24%
49%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
BAL
1 - 0
CEF
65%
19%
16%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
CEF
1 - 0
POR
50%
23%
27%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |