Welsh Premier League Round 4

Llanelli AFC vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis

Llanelli AFC Cefn Druids AFC
44 ELO 53
32.2% Tilt 15.5%
17831º General ELO ranking 21048º
107º Country ELO ranking 122º
ELO win probability
42%
Llanelli AFC
23.9%
Draw
34.2%
Cefn Druids AFC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
Llanelli AFC
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
34.2%
Win probability
Cefn Druids AFC
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Llanelli AFC
Cefn Druids AFC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Llanelli AFC
Llanelli AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 2004
NEW
Newtown
4 - 0
Llanelli AFC
LLA
58%
23%
20%
46 57 11 0
21 Aug. 2004
LLA
Llanelli AFC
0 - 2
Connah's Quay
CON
36%
25%
39%
46 63 17 0
14 Aug. 2004
BAN
Bangor City
6 - 0
Llanelli AFC
LLA
81%
13%
6%
47 69 22 -1
25 Apr. 2003
LLA
Llanelli AFC
1 - 2
Carmarthen Town
CAR
48%
24%
27%
47 56 9 0
21 Apr. 2003
ABE
Aberystwyth Town
2 - 0
Llanelli AFC
LLA
74%
17%
9%
47 67 20 0

Matches

Cefn Druids AFC
Cefn Druids AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 2004
CEF
Cefn Druids AFC
0 - 1
Carmarthen Town
CAR
56%
23%
21%
54 51 3 0
14 Aug. 2004
CEF
Cefn Druids AFC
0 - 5
Caersws
CAE
24%
23%
53%
54 69 15 0
01 May. 2004
CAE
Caersws
3 - 1
Cefn Druids AFC
CEF
70%
18%
12%
55 69 14 -1
23 Apr. 2004
CEF
Cefn Druids AFC
1 - 3
Caernarfon Town FC
CAE
48%
24%
28%
55 56 1 0
17 Apr. 2004
BAR
Barry Town
0 - 1
Cefn Druids AFC
CEF
50%
23%
26%
55 53 2 0