Livorno vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BOL
2 - 0
LIV
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
LIV
0 - 1
CTT
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -3 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
SPE
3 - 0
LIV
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
LIV
3 - 1
TER
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
TRA
0 - 0
LIV
39%
27%
35%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 0
ACD
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 1
VIR
28%
29%
43%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 0
AVE
42%
28%
31%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
PRG
0 - 0
VIR
46%
27%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
VIC
2 - 2
VIR
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |