Livorno vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
USA
3 - 1
LIV
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1956 |
CAG
1 - 0
LIV
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1956 |
LIV
2 - 0
ACM
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1956 |
LIV
2 - 2
VER
52%
25%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1956 |
MOD
8 - 1
LIV
59%
22%
18%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
PAR
1 - 0
CAT
46%
24%
30%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1956 |
PAR
2 - 3
MES
63%
20%
17%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1956 |
VER
3 - 1
PAR
50%
23%
27%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1956 |
ACM
0 - 0
PAR
57%
21%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1956 |
PAR
1 - 0
UDI
28%
22%
49%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | +1 |