Livorno vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SAS
1 - 4
LIV
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
LIV
0 - 2
ROM
22%
23%
55%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
LIV
0 - 1
SIE
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
LIV
1 - 0
EMP
52%
23%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
EMP
1 - 1
LIV
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CAT
0 - 3
INT
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
FIO
2 - 1
CAT
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
VAR
2 - 2
CAT
30%
26%
44%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 2
CAT
35%
28%
37%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
CAT
1 - 0
PES
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |