Liverpool vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
15.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
CHA
0 - 2
LIV
23%
25%
53%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2001 |
BOA
1 - 1
LIV
30%
26%
44%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
LEI
1 - 4
LIV
24%
25%
52%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2001 |
DYN
1 - 2
LIV
36%
26%
39%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
LIV
1 - 1
LEE
54%
23%
23%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
COT
0 - 2
BVB
31%
26%
43%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2001 |
BVB
1 - 0
DYN
50%
24%
26%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
BVB
0 - 2
SCF
56%
23%
21%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2001 |
BVB
2 - 1
BOA
56%
24%
20%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
MON
1 - 2
BVB
40%
26%
34%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |