Liverpool vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1926 |
WHU
1 - 2
LIV
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1926 |
LIV
0 - 3
LEI
65%
19%
16%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1926 |
LIV
3 - 1
ASV
52%
22%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1925 |
NEW
3 - 0
LIV
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1925 |
LIV
6 - 3
NEW
57%
24%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1926 |
ARS
3 - 2
MUD
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1926 |
TOT
1 - 1
ARS
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1925 |
NOT
4 - 1
ARS
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1925 |
ARS
3 - 0
NOT
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1925 |
BIR
1 - 0
ARS
47%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |