Apertura Uruguay Round 3

Liverpool Montevideo vs Danubio analysis

Liverpool Montevideo Danubio
68 ELO 69
13.4% Tilt 3.5%
467º General ELO ranking 484º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
54.6%
Liverpool Montevideo
24.1%
Draw
21.3%
Danubio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
Liverpool Montevideo
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.3%
Win probability
Danubio
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Liverpool Montevideo
+13%
-7%
Danubio

ELO progression

Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Liverpool Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Aug. 2013
MWA
Montevideo Wanderers
1 - 0
Liverpool Montevideo
LFC
50%
25%
26%
69 69 0 0
18 Aug. 2013
LFC
Liverpool Montevideo
1 - 0
Defensor Sporting
DEF
31%
26%
43%
69 80 11 0
01 Jun. 2013
LFC
Liverpool Montevideo
0 - 4
Peñarol
PEÑ
24%
24%
52%
70 83 13 -1
25 May. 2013
RAC
Racing Montevideo
0 - 0
Liverpool Montevideo
LFC
42%
26%
32%
70 67 3 0
19 May. 2013
LFC
Liverpool Montevideo
1 - 1
El Tanque Sisley
ETS
58%
23%
19%
70 68 2 0

Matches

Danubio
Danubio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Aug. 2013
DAN
Danubio
2 - 1
Cerro CA
CER
55%
24%
21%
68 67 1 0
18 Aug. 2013
CEL
Cerro Largo
0 - 0
Danubio
DAN
46%
27%
27%
68 67 1 0
01 Jun. 2013
DAN
Danubio
1 - 0
Cerro Largo
CEL
54%
24%
22%
68 68 0 0
25 May. 2013
FEN
Fénix
1 - 1
Danubio
DAN
51%
25%
24%
68 68 0 0
19 May. 2013
DAN
Danubio
4 - 1
Bella Vista
BVS
62%
22%
17%
68 63 5 0