U-17 Euro Qualification Ronda de clasificación round 5

Lituania U17 vs Rumanía U17 analysis

Lituania U17 Rumanía U17
29 ELO 46
5.1% Tilt -4.5%
8598º General ELO ranking 6423º
33º Country ELO ranking 68º
ELO win probability
20.9%
Lituania U17
19.6%
Draw
59.6%
Rumanía U17

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
Lithuania U17
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
59.6%
Win probability
Romania U17
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO progression

Lithuania U17
Romania U17
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lithuania U17
Lithuania U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Sep. 2016
LTU
Lithuania U17
0 - 1
Turkey U17
TUR
17%
21%
63%
31 51 20 0
25 Sep. 2016
NOR
Norway U17
2 - 1
Lithuania U17
LTU
64%
19%
17%
32 45 13 -1
23 Sep. 2016
UKR
Ukraine U17
1 - 1
Lithuania U17
LTU
70%
18%
12%
31 48 17 +1
29 Oct. 2015
LTU
Lithuania U17
2 - 0
Luxembourg U17
LUX
49%
22%
29%
30 31 1 +1
26 Oct. 2015
SRB
Serbia U17
0 - 0
Lithuania U17
LTU
79%
15%
7%
29 53 24 +1

Matches

Romania U17
Romania U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Oct. 2016
AZE
Azerbaijan U17
1 - 0
Romania U17
ROU
25%
23%
51%
46 37 9 0
27 Oct. 2016
ENG
England U17
3 - 0
Romania U17
ROU
75%
16%
9%
47 64 17 -1
25 Oct. 2016
ROU
Romania U17
1 - 2
Austria U17
AUT
28%
26%
46%
47 53 6 0
29 Oct. 2015
SVK
Slovakia U17
1 - 1
Romania U17
ROU
44%
24%
32%
47 46 1 0
26 Oct. 2015
ROU
Romania U17
0 - 3
Georgia U17
GEO
47%
25%
28%
48 45 3 -1