European U21 Championship qualifying Group H Round 1

Lituania U21 vs Ucrania U21 analysis

Lituania U21 Ucrania U21
38 ELO 71
-21.3% Tilt -3.5%
7407º General ELO ranking 1506º
32º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
5.5%
Lituania U21
14.1%
Draw
80.5%
Ucrania U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.4%
Win probability
Lituania U21
0.46
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.4%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
80.5%
Win probability
Ucrania U21
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
16.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.4%
0-3
13.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lituania U21
-11%
+15%
Ucrania U21

ELO progression

Lituania U21
Ucrania U21
Hungría U21
Croacia U21
Turquía U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lituania U21
Lituania U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Mar. 2025
LTU
Lituania U21
0 - 2
Letonia U21
LVA
30%
25%
45%
40 44 4 0
15 Oct. 2024
CZE
República Checa U21
3 - 0
Lituania U21
LTU
84%
13%
4%
40 70 30 0
10 Oct. 2024
ISL
Islandia U21
0 - 2
Lituania U21
LTU
84%
11%
5%
38 59 21 +2
06 Sep. 2024
LTU
Lituania U21
1 - 2
República Checa U21
CZE
5%
13%
82%
38 70 32 0
09 Jun. 2024
FIN
Finlandia U21
2 - 0
Lituania U21
LTU
72%
17%
11%
39 54 15 -1

Matches

Ucrania U21
Ucrania U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jun. 2025
NED
Países Bajos U21
2 - 0
Ucrania U21
UKR
54%
23%
23%
71 78 7 0
15 Jun. 2025
FIN
Finlandia U21
0 - 2
Ucrania U21
UKR
25%
24%
52%
71 59 12 0
12 Jun. 2025
UKR
Ucrania U21
2 - 3
Dinamarca U21
DEN
42%
25%
33%
71 72 1 0
06 Jun. 2025
ESP
España U21
0 - 1
Ucrania U21
UKR
76%
15%
9%
71 86 15 0
25 Mar. 2025
POL
Polonia U21
3 - 2
Ucrania U21
UKR
35%
25%
40%
71 66 5 0