Lituania U21 vs Moldavia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lituania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
POL
5 - 0
LTU
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
LTU
1 - 0
LVA
43%
27%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
UKR
4 - 1
LTU
81%
14%
5%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2014 |
LTU
1 - 0
MDA
34%
27%
40%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
RUS
3 - 0
LTU
86%
11%
4%
|
44 | 75 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Moldavia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
FIN
1 - 0
MDA
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
UKR
3 - 1
MDA
80%
14%
6%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
MDA
2 - 1
TJK
68%
20%
12%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2014 |
LTU
1 - 0
MDA
34%
27%
40%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
RUS
3 - 0
MDA
83%
12%
5%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |