Lituania U21 vs Inglaterra U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
72.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
15%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lituania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
LTU
1 - 0
MKD
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
GRC
1 - 0
LTU
80%
13%
6%
|
44 | 70 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
MKD
1 - 1
LTU
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
POR
4 - 1
LTU
82%
12%
5%
|
44 | 76 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
LTU
2 - 3
GEO
38%
26%
37%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Inglaterra U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
ENG
1 - 0
POR
55%
23%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
ENG
6 - 3
MKD
86%
11%
3%
|
79 | 45 | 34 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2009 |
GRC
1 - 1
ENG
31%
26%
42%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
MKD
1 - 2
ENG
10%
19%
71%
|
79 | 45 | 34 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
NED
0 - 0
ENG
38%
27%
36%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |