European U21 Championship qualifying Round 2

Lituania U21 vs Finlandia U21 analysis

Lituania U21 Finlandia U21
41 ELO 57
-19.1% Tilt -5.3%
7291º General ELO ranking 3311º
32º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
17.4%
Lituania U21
23.7%
Draw
58.9%
Finlandia U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
Lituania U21
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
58.9%
Win probability
Finlandia U21
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lituania U21
-25%
+19%
Finlandia U21

ELO progression

Lituania U21
Finlandia U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lituania U21
Lituania U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Nov. 2017
GEO
Georgia U21
1 - 0
Lituania U21
LTU
64%
21%
15%
43 49 6 0
10 Nov. 2017
BLR
Bielorrusia U21
0 - 0
Lituania U21
LTU
63%
22%
15%
42 52 10 +1
10 Oct. 2017
LTU
Lituania U21
0 - 2
Polonia U21
POL
10%
18%
72%
43 64 21 -1
05 Sep. 2017
DEN
Dinamarca U21
6 - 0
Lituania U21
LTU
88%
9%
3%
43 71 28 0
08 Jun. 2017
LTU
Lituania U21
3 - 0
Islas Feroe U21
FRO
45%
26%
30%
42 39 3 +1

Matches

Finlandia U21
Finlandia U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Nov. 2017
GEO
Georgia U21
2 - 2
Finlandia U21
FIN
32%
25%
43%
56 49 7 0
10 Oct. 2017
FIN
Finlandia U21
0 - 5
Dinamarca U21
DEN
16%
22%
61%
57 71 14 -1
06 Oct. 2017
POL
Polonia U21
3 - 3
Finlandia U21
FIN
60%
23%
18%
57 64 7 0
05 Sep. 2017
FIN
Finlandia U21
1 - 1
Islas Feroe U21
FRO
67%
20%
12%
57 38 19 0
01 Sep. 2017
AUT
Austria U21
2 - 2
Finlandia U21
FIN
76%
16%
8%
57 72 15 0