Lituania U21 vs Bielorrusia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
52.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lituania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
LTU
0 - 0
ITA
4%
14%
82%
|
41 | 81 | 40 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
LTU
1 - 0
SVN
12%
22%
66%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
LTU
1 - 0
AND
47%
23%
31%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2016 |
LVA
2 - 0
LTU
53%
25%
22%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
ITA
2 - 0
LTU
81%
15%
4%
|
40 | 82 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Bielorrusia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
UKR
1 - 0
BLR
69%
20%
11%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
SVK
3 - 1
BLR
69%
20%
11%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
TUR
1 - 0
BLR
61%
24%
15%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
BLR
2 - 2
NED
13%
19%
68%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
BLR
1 - 1
MDA
59%
24%
18%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |