Little Common vs Midhurst & Easebourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
27.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Little Common
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
PEA
1 - 0
LCO
63%
18%
18%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
LCO
1 - 2
CRA
26%
21%
53%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SAL
0 - 5
LCO
23%
20%
56%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LCO
3 - 2
LIN
51%
21%
28%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
BRO
5 - 1
LCO
72%
16%
12%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Midhurst & Easebourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MEF
2 - 3
NEW
18%
18%
63%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
LIN
4 - 1
MEF
35%
22%
44%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MEF
2 - 3
VAR
51%
21%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
HOR
1 - 1
MEF
32%
21%
47%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MEF
1 - 1
STC
32%
22%
47%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |