Little Common vs Midhurst & Easebourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
19.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Little Common
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
PEA
1 - 0
LCO
58%
20%
22%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
LCO
1 - 2
CRA
33%
21%
45%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
LCO
2 - 1
EAS
29%
22%
49%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SAL
0 - 5
LCO
21%
20%
59%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
LIN
0 - 1
LCO
36%
22%
42%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Midhurst & Easebourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MEF
2 - 3
NEW
16%
17%
67%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
LIN
4 - 1
MEF
38%
22%
41%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
MEF
3 - 3
ALF
82%
12%
7%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MEF
2 - 3
VAR
41%
22%
37%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
BEX
3 - 1
MEF
62%
19%
19%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |