NI Third Division Promotion Group Round 4

Lisburn Distillery vs Queens University Belfast analysis

Lisburn Distillery Queens University Belfast
47 ELO 50
13.9% Tilt 14.7%
6207º General ELO ranking 3910º
35º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
47.2%
Lisburn Distillery
23.6%
Draw
29.2%
Queens University Belfast

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
Lisburn Distillery
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
29.2%
Win probability
Queens University Belfast
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lisburn Distillery
-19%
+27%
Queens University Belfast

ELO progression

Lisburn Distillery
Queens University Belfast
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lisburn Distillery
Lisburn Distillery
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Apr. 2018
LIS
Lisburn Distillery
1 - 0
Banbridge Town
BAN
44%
23%
32%
47 49 2 0
24 Apr. 2018
TOB
Tobermore United
1 - 3
Lisburn Distillery
LIS
37%
24%
40%
46 43 3 +1
21 Apr. 2018
LIS
Lisburn Distillery
0 - 3
Dundela
DUN
29%
22%
49%
47 52 5 -1
17 Apr. 2018
DON
Donegal Celtic
2 - 1
Lisburn Distillery
LIS
35%
23%
42%
48 44 4 -1
10 Apr. 2018
LIS
Lisburn Distillery
5 - 1
Annagh United
AUN
67%
18%
15%
49 40 9 -1

Matches

Queens University Belfast
Queens University Belfast
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Apr. 2018
QUB
Queens University Belfast
1 - 0
Moyola Park
MOY
55%
22%
23%
49 45 4 0
24 Apr. 2018
BAN
Banbridge Town
1 - 1
Queens University Belfast
QUB
46%
24%
29%
49 49 0 0
21 Apr. 2018
QUB
Queens University Belfast
3 - 0
Tobermore United
TOB
57%
22%
21%
48 44 4 +1
17 Apr. 2018
QUB
Queens University Belfast
3 - 1
Armagh City
ARC
57%
22%
21%
48 44 4 0
14 Apr. 2018
POR
Portstewart
3 - 1
Queens University Belfast
QUB
29%
25%
46%
49 41 8 -1