Lisburn Distillery vs PSNI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
24.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
LIS
2 - 1
LOU
69%
18%
13%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
DON
1 - 1
LIS
47%
23%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
LIS
1 - 1
CAR
36%
24%
39%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
INS
1 - 1
LIS
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
LAR
1 - 0
LIS
27%
23%
51%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
PSNI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
PSN
3 - 2
POR
76%
15%
10%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
QUB
0 - 0
PSN
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
PSN
3 - 1
BAN
55%
21%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
PSN
2 - 1
TOB
62%
20%
18%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
BMF
1 - 3
PSN
33%
24%
43%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |