Lisburn Distillery vs Portstewart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LIS
2 - 1
TOB
59%
21%
20%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
BRF
4 - 2
LIS
66%
18%
15%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
MOY
2 - 0
LIS
31%
24%
45%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
LIS
3 - 1
DOL
45%
24%
32%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PSN
3 - 0
LIS
14%
17%
70%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | -2 |
Matches
Portstewart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
RRF
6 - 0
POR
45%
22%
33%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MOY
1 - 0
POR
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
POR
2 - 0
WAR
11%
19%
70%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
WAR
1 - 1
POR
84%
11%
5%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
POR
1 - 2
TOB
38%
23%
39%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |