Lisburn Distillery vs Larne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
5.1%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
DON
2 - 1
LIS
19%
24%
57%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2007 |
LIS
0 - 1
LIM
71%
19%
11%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
DUN
2 - 3
LIS
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
LIS
3 - 1
BAL
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
LIN
3 - 0
LIS
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
LAR
2 - 3
LIM
31%
26%
43%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2007 |
LAR
1 - 0
DUN
19%
24%
57%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
BAL
3 - 0
LAR
67%
21%
13%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2007 |
POR
1 - 0
LAR
85%
11%
4%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
LAR
0 - 1
ARC
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |