Lisburn Distillery vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
DON
1 - 2
LIS
18%
23%
60%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
LIS
2 - 0
LAR
78%
16%
6%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2007 |
LIS
0 - 2
BAL
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
LIS
5 - 0
LIM
69%
20%
11%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2007 |
DUN
0 - 3
LIS
39%
26%
36%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
INS
1 - 0
DUN
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
BAL
2 - 1
INS
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
INS
1 - 1
ARC
52%
25%
24%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2007 |
POR
2 - 1
INS
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
INS
0 - 1
LIN
21%
23%
56%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |