Lisburn Distillery vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
20.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2001 |
DUN
2 - 3
LIS
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2001 |
BAN
0 - 0
LIS
48%
24%
28%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2001 |
CAR
0 - 1
LIS
34%
25%
41%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
LIS
1 - 1
LAR
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2001 |
ARD
2 - 3
LIS
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2001 |
INS
3 - 1
BAL
65%
20%
16%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2001 |
CAR
2 - 1
INS
36%
25%
40%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
INS
0 - 1
DUN
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2001 |
BAN
2 - 1
INS
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2001 |
INS
1 - 2
LAR
59%
22%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |