Lisburn Distillery vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
ARD
1 - 1
LIS
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
LAR
0 - 2
LIS
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
LIS
2 - 1
CLI
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
LIS
2 - 1
CRU
59%
24%
18%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
LIS
1 - 1
LIN
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
DUN
3 - 0
NEW
45%
24%
31%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
DUN
2 - 2
ARD
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
LIM
3 - 1
DUN
38%
27%
36%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
CLI
1 - 0
DUN
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
DUN
2 - 5
LAR
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |