Lisburn Distillery vs Donegal Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
17.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
COA
1 - 3
LIS
38%
23%
39%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
KNO
2 - 2
LIS
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
LOU
1 - 2
LIS
37%
24%
39%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
LIS
2 - 2
INS
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
POR
1 - 0
LIS
72%
18%
11%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Donegal Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
DON
1 - 2
LCE
46%
23%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
DON
0 - 0
CAR
32%
23%
45%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
DON
1 - 4
BAN
61%
21%
19%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 1
DON
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
DON
2 - 1
WAR
28%
23%
49%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +2 |