NI Third Division Round 5

Lisburn Distillery vs Dergview FC analysis

Lisburn Distillery Dergview FC
42 ELO 40
5% Tilt 11.4%
6221º General ELO ranking 6254º
35º Country ELO ranking 36º
ELO win probability
41.9%
Lisburn Distillery
23.3%
Draw
34.8%
Dergview FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
Lisburn Distillery
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
34.8%
Win probability
Dergview FC
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lisburn Distillery
-17%
-50%
Dergview FC

ELO progression

Lisburn Distillery
Dergview FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lisburn Distillery
Lisburn Distillery
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Apr. 2025
KNO
Knockbreda
1 - 1
Lisburn Distillery
LIS
57%
21%
22%
40 44 4 0
12 Apr. 2025
LIS
Lisburn Distillery
0 - 1
Portstewart
POR
47%
24%
29%
41 42 1 -1
05 Apr. 2025
DOL
Dollingstown
3 - 3
Lisburn Distillery
LIS
77%
15%
8%
40 58 18 +1
29 Mar. 2025
OSF
Oxford Sunnyside
2 - 1
Lisburn Distillery
LIS
26%
20%
54%
41 32 9 -1
25 Mar. 2025
DER
Dergview FC
2 - 0
Lisburn Distillery
LIS
36%
25%
40%
42 41 1 -1

Matches

Dergview FC
Dergview FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Apr. 2025
POR
Portstewart
4 - 1
Dergview FC
DER
38%
25%
38%
43 43 0 0
11 Apr. 2025
DER
Dergview FC
1 - 3
Rathfriland Rangers
RRF
30%
25%
45%
44 52 8 -1
05 Apr. 2025
DER
Dergview FC
1 - 2
Tobermore United
TOB
58%
22%
20%
45 36 9 -1
01 Apr. 2025
DER
Dergview FC
1 - 0
Warrenpoint Town
WAR
16%
23%
62%
43 59 16 +2
25 Mar. 2025
DER
Dergview FC
2 - 0
Lisburn Distillery
LIS
36%
25%
40%
41 42 1 +2