Lisburn Distillery vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
ARC
1 - 2
LIS
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
CRU
1 - 1
LIS
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
LIS
4 - 1
GLE
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
LIS
0 - 4
CLI
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
LIS
3 - 1
GLE
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
CRU
0 - 3
COL
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
CRU
1 - 1
LIS
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
LIM
0 - 1
CRU
36%
25%
39%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
LAR
0 - 1
CRU
22%
24%
54%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
DUN
1 - 2
CRU
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |