Lisburn Distillery vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
OMA
2 - 3
LIS
30%
26%
45%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
POR
2 - 1
LIS
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2005 |
LIS
1 - 2
HAR
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
LIS
1 - 1
HAR
68%
18%
14%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
LIS
1 - 1
LIM
60%
23%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
CRU
1 - 2
LIN
21%
25%
55%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
CRU
2 - 3
BAL
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
CRU
0 - 1
COL
30%
25%
46%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
ARD
2 - 2
CRU
51%
26%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
LOU
2 - 0
CRU
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |