Lisburn Distillery vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
53.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1963 |
SLB
0 - 2
SCP
65%
17%
17%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1963 |
SCP
0 - 1
SLB
62%
18%
20%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 1963 |
SLB
5 - 0
MAR
92%
6%
3%
|
88 | 31 | 57 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1963 |
MAR
1 - 3
SLB
17%
20%
63%
|
88 | 31 | 57 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1963 |
ACM
2 - 1
SLB
67%
17%
16%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |