Lisburn Distillery vs Armagh City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
35.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
RRF
4 - 2
LIS
9%
13%
79%
|
42 | 13 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LIS
2 - 1
PSN
73%
15%
12%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
DOL
2 - 0
LIS
41%
23%
36%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
BAL
4 - 0
LIS
71%
18%
12%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LIS
0 - 4
QUB
31%
24%
45%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ARC
1 - 0
DOL
40%
24%
36%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ARC
3 - 1
COA
74%
15%
11%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ARC
1 - 0
RRF
76%
14%
10%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BAN
3 - 2
ARC
34%
23%
44%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
ARC
2 - 3
QUB
21%
22%
57%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |