Lisburn Distillery vs Armagh City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
GLE
3 - 1
LIS
52%
23%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
ARC
1 - 3
LIS
24%
23%
53%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
LIS
1 - 2
GLE
51%
24%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
LAR
1 - 1
LIS
20%
22%
58%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
LIS
3 - 0
LOU
81%
14%
5%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
ARC
3 - 2
LAR
63%
20%
17%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
ARC
1 - 3
LIS
24%
23%
53%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
LAR
3 - 1
ARC
45%
23%
32%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
GLE
6 - 0
ARC
72%
17%
11%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
ARC
1 - 2
GLE
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |