Lions Gibraltar vs St. Joseph's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
72.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lions Gibraltar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
LRI
3 - 0
LIO
85%
11%
4%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2021 |
CEU
4 - 0
LIO
83%
12%
5%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
LIO
0 - 2
JOS
11%
19%
70%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
LIO
79%
14%
6%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
LYN
4 - 0
LIO
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
St. Joseph's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
JOS
4 - 1
LYN
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
JOS
1 - 1
LEV
37%
22%
41%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
LEV
3 - 1
JOS
60%
20%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
JOS
3 - 2
LYN
74%
16%
10%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
JOS
2 - 2
LRI
42%
22%
36%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |