Lioli vs Sandawana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
NYE
0 - 2
LIO
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
JOY
0 - 2
LIO
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
LIO
1 - 0
LIK
50%
27%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
MAT
0 - 2
LIO
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
LIO
1 - 2
BAN
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sandawana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 4
LMP
55%
23%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
NYE
55%
22%
23%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 2
JOY
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
LIK
2 - 1
SAN
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 2
MAT
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |