Lioli vs Mazenod Swallows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
LIO
4 - 2
MFC
53%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
LPT
0 - 0
LIO
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
LIO
0 - 1
LIN
52%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
LCS
1 - 1
LIO
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
LIO
3 - 1
MPH
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mazenod Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
MSW
0 - 2
LPT
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
MSW
0 - 1
MAT
49%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
LIN
2 - 1
MSW
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
MSW
0 - 0
LCS
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
MPH
2 - 0
MSW
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |