Lioli vs Matlama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
32.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
LIO
3 - 1
BAN
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
LIO
3 - 0
MFC
68%
19%
13%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
ACM
0 - 2
LIO
24%
23%
53%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
LFC
0 - 3
LIO
26%
26%
49%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
MFC
0 - 1
LIO
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Matlama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
MAT
0 - 1
LDF
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
MAT
1 - 1
LFC
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
MFC
1 - 2
MAT
27%
22%
51%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
LFC
0 - 2
MAT
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
MAT
5 - 0
MFC
69%
18%
13%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |