Lioli vs Matlama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
26.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+87%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
LIO
0 - 0
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
LDF
1 - 0
LIO
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
MFC
2 - 2
LIO
54%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
JOY
0 - 0
LIO
45%
27%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
LIO
1 - 2
LMP
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Matlama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
MAT
0 - 0
LDF
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
MAT
1 - 0
MFC
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
LIK
0 - 1
MAT
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
MFC
3 - 1
MAT
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MAT
0 - 2
BAN
49%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |