Lioli vs Machokha FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+77%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
4º
10º
8º
36
4º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
LIO
0 - 1
LMP
49%
28%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MFC
0 - 1
LIO
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
LIO
1 - 0
GAL
44%
26%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MAT
1 - 0
LIO
48%
27%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LDF
0 - 0
LIO
51%
26%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Machokha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MFC
1 - 1
CCX
77%
14%
9%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LFC
2 - 3
MFC
28%
26%
46%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
MFC
0 - 0
LMP
59%
23%
18%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MFC
0 - 1
MFC
27%
22%
51%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
MAT
2 - 1
MFC
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |