Lioli vs Linare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+87%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
MFC
0 - 2
LIO
52%
25%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
LIK
0 - 0
LIO
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
BAN
0 - 1
LIO
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LIO
0 - 2
MAT
48%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
LIO
0 - 0
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Linare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
LIN
0 - 1
BAN
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MFC
1 - 1
LIN
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
MAT
2 - 1
LIN
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
LIN
1 - 3
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
LIK
0 - 2
LIN
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |