Lioli vs Lija-Batho analysis


38	ELO	38
-22.9%	Tilt	-20.8%
7279º	General ELO ranking	7429º
2º	Country ELO ranking	6º
ELO win probability

46.9%

Lioli

24.2%

Draw

28.9%

Lija-Batho

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

46.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%

24.2%

Draw

0-0

5.5%

1-1

11.3%

2-2

5.8%

3-3

1.3%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

24.2%

28.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+61%

+7%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lioli

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
20 Dec. 2023	LIO 1 - 1 LMP 50% 27% 24%	39	39	0
16 Dec. 2023	LIN 0 - 0 LIO 43% 25% 32%	39	37	2
10 Dec. 2023	LIO 3 - 1 BAN 43% 26% 31%	39	39	0
06 Dec. 2023	NBF 0 - 3 LIO 23% 22% 55%	39	22	17
02 Dec. 2023	CCX 0 - 2 LIO 21% 23% 56%	39	23	16

Matches

Lija-Batho

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
20 Dec. 2023	LFC 2 - 0 LFC 36% 25% 39%	39	35	4	0
17 Dec. 2023	LFC 0 - 0 LUF 76% 16% 9%	39	18	21	0
09 Dec. 2023	LFC 3 - 0 LIN 47% 25% 28%	37	38	1	+2
06 Dec. 2023	LFC 0 - 2 MAT 43% 24% 34%	39	39	0	-2
02 Dec. 2023	ACM 1 - 1 LFC 14% 19% 66%	39	14	25	0