Lioli vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
LMP
0 - 1
LIO
42%
29%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
LIN
1 - 2
LIO
45%
27%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
LIO
3 - 0
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
LIO
1 - 0
KLI
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
LIK
0 - 3
LIO
48%
27%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
LDF
0 - 0
LIK
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BAN
1 - 1
LDF
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
LDF
1 - 1
MPH
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
LDF
5 - 0
QOA
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
QAL
1 - 1
LDF
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |