Lioli vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
NYE
1 - 2
LIO
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MAT
2 - 0
LIO
49%
27%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
QAL
0 - 2
LIO
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
LIO
0 - 0
BAN
49%
26%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
LMP
0 - 1
LIO
47%
27%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
LDF
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
KLI
0 - 2
LDF
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
LDF
2 - 1
LIK
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
LIN
0 - 1
LDF
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
LDF
2 - 0
MPH
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |