Lioli vs Butha-Buthe Warriors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
6.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 1
LIO
49%
26%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
BAN
2 - 1
LIO
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
LIO
1 - 0
KLI
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
LFC
0 - 1
LIO
52%
25%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CAP
2 - 1
LIO
46%
27%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -3 |
Matches
Butha-Buthe Warriors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
BUT
2 - 2
LFC
53%
23%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
RFC
1 - 3
BUT
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +3 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
BUT
1 - 3
LIN
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
SKY
3 - 0
BUT
51%
23%
26%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
LIK
4 - 0
BUT
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |