CA Liniers vs Villa Mitre Bahia Blanca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
41.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
2º
8º
9º
64
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
92.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
58% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Liniers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 0
SAN
40%
27%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CDC
3 - 0
LIN
25%
27%
48%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 2
OLI
19%
25%
56%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
SDM
0 - 1
LIN
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 1
GER
58%
24%
18%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Villa Mitre Bahia Blanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
VIL
31%
30%
39%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
ARS
1 - 1
VIL
79%
15%
6%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 1
CDC
70%
20%
10%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 0
VIL
60%
24%
16%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 0
SDM
69%
21%
11%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |