Linhares vs Aracruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linhares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
REA
1 - 2
LIN
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
LIN
3 - 0
BOT
56%
23%
20%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
DES
2 - 1
LIN
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 0
SAO
38%
27%
36%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
LIN
3 - 2
VIT
47%
26%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
TUP
2 - 1
ARA
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 0
ARA
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
RES
4 - 1
ARA
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 0
NOV
51%
25%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 0
RES
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |