Linfield vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CLI
0 - 2
LIN
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
LAR
1 - 1
LIN
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
COL
0 - 1
LIN
43%
27%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
LIN
1 - 1
GLE
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
LIN
0 - 0
CRU
43%
27%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
GLE
0 - 0
STM
51%
23%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
STM
0 - 3
GLA
16%
23%
62%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
ABE
3 - 0
STM
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 2
STM
76%
15%
9%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
STM
2 - 2
HOM
31%
29%
40%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |