Linfield vs Larne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
9.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
POR
0 - 1
LIN
54%
23%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
LIN
4 - 1
LIM
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
LIN
5 - 2
LIS
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
OMA
1 - 8
LIN
26%
24%
50%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
LIN
2 - 1
CRU
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
CLI
2 - 0
LAR
45%
27%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
LAR
0 - 5
GLE
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
LAR
3 - 2
DUN
46%
26%
29%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2004 |
COL
3 - 0
LAR
69%
19%
13%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
LAR
0 - 1
NEW
49%
24%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |