Linfield vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2011 |
LIN
3 - 1
CRU
56%
24%
21%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2010 |
DON
2 - 0
LIN
16%
22%
63%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2010 |
CLI
3 - 1
LIN
32%
27%
42%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
LIS
0 - 4
LIN
29%
26%
45%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
LIN
1 - 0
DUN
71%
19%
11%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
LIM
2 - 0
INS
66%
20%
15%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
BAN
2 - 3
INS
42%
24%
34%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
INS
0 - 0
BAN
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
ARD
1 - 1
INS
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
INS
0 - 3
LIS
22%
23%
55%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -2 |