Linfield vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
8.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
GLE
1 - 2
LIN
28%
24%
48%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
LIN
2 - 1
GLE
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
CRU
0 - 4
LIN
43%
25%
32%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
LIS
1 - 2
LIN
17%
23%
60%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
LIN
1 - 0
BAL
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
INS
1 - 1
POR
22%
25%
54%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
LIS
2 - 1
INS
44%
26%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
INS
0 - 0
NEW
31%
26%
43%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
DUN
2 - 1
INS
58%
23%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
INS
0 - 1
GLE
34%
27%
39%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |