Linfield vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
CRU
2 - 1
LIN
40%
25%
35%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
LIN
6 - 2
DON
75%
17%
8%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
POR
1 - 2
LIN
32%
26%
43%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
BAL
3 - 3
LIN
22%
25%
53%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
NEW
1 - 1
LIN
18%
22%
60%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
GLE
0 - 2
DUN
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
DUN
2 - 3
CRU
33%
25%
42%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
DON
3 - 4
DUN
48%
24%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
DUN
2 - 1
GLE
60%
21%
19%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
GLE
5 - 1
DUN
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |