Linfield vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
1º
4º
2º
55
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
LOU
0 - 2
LIN
33%
26%
41%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 0
LIN
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
COL
1 - 3
LIN
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
LIN
3 - 3
CAR
78%
16%
7%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 1
CLI
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CRU
2 - 0
GLE
66%
20%
15%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
CRU
0 - 3
CLI
50%
24%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CRU
1 - 1
LOU
68%
20%
13%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
GLE
2 - 2
CRU
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 4
CRU
11%
21%
68%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |